Twitter, Texas Instruments, Intel, Las Vegas Sands: What to Watch | Sidnaz Blog


Futures are rising, pointing to an extention of the rally on Wall Street for a third day. Here’s what we’re watching ahead of Thursday’s open.

A Texas Instruments office in San Diego, Calif., April 24, 2018.


mike blake/Reuters

  • Railway operator


    CSX 1.25%

    jumped 2% premarket after it said profit more than doubled in the second quarter.

  • Las Vegas Sands

    LVS 3.43%

    said losses narrowed in the second quarter as revenue recovered from last year’s more restrictive measures to limit the spread of Covid-19, but market players are still taking their bets off the table. Its shares were down 2.5%.

  • Airbnb

    ABNB 2.32%

    shares are up 1.7% premarket. CEO

    Brian Chesky

    told Barrons that he sees the “travel rebound of the century,” even as Covid-19 cases jump.

  • Equifax

    EFX -0.60%

    raised its projections for the year as it sees broad-based revenue growth across all its segments. Market watchers greeted the news with a yawn: Shares were flat premarket.

  • Appliance maker


    WHR 1.91%

    lifted its guidance but said it will spend $1 billion more on raw materials this year as inflation hits corporate balance sheets. Its shares slipped 0.4%.

  • Intel,

    INTC 1.79%


    TWTR 2.36%



    SNAP 1.70%

    are set to report earnings after markets close. In Intel’s case, an earnings drop could be in the cards amid a global chip shortage.

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Netflix May Find No Business Like Show Business | Sidnaz Blog


Anya Taylor-Joy and Thomas Brodie-Sangster in a scene from ’The Queen’s Gambit.’


/Associated Press

It is as good a time as any for


to test a new story line. Even a lucky turn in videogames won’t free the streaming giant from the need to keep playing Hollywood’s game, though.

Netflix used its second-quarter report Tuesday afternoon to confirm previously reported plans to enter the videogame business. No timing was given, though the company said the offerings would be included in its current subscription plans at no additional cost. The company isn’t backing away from its work on movies and TV shows, but said in its letter to shareholders “since we are nearly a decade into our push into original programming, we think the time is right to learn more about how our members value games.”

That news comes as Netflix remains mired in somewhat of a post-pandemic slump. It added 1.5 million net new paying subscribers in the second quarter, which was a bit better than it had forecast but still its lowest level of growth in nearly a decade. It also projected 3.5 million net adds for the third quarter—about 29% less than what Wall Street was hoping for. That would bring the total number of new subscribers to about nine million for the first nine months of 2021. Netflix added more than 28 million paying subscribers in the same period last year.

A foray into games might make sense for a company with an intimate knowledge of the viewing habits of a user base that now numbers over 209 million. It is also a tough business to crack—even the mobile gaming market that Netflix says it expects to target initially. There are many participants, but most of the money is still made by long-established properties. Games like “Candy Crush” and “Clash of Clans” remain in the top-five grossing charts even after nearly a decade on the market.

Netflix will need to keep battling it out for video streaming eyeballs. The company expects its pace of new releases to pick up in the second half of this year; analysts from Wedbush count 42 original shows and movies expected for the third quarter alone. But the company still has its own track record to compete with: Last fall included popular shows such as “The Queen’s Gambit,” “The Crown” and “Bridgerton.” Netflix shares are down nearly 2% this year, lagging behind many internet and entertainment peers. Streaming investors hyper-focused on subscriber growth aren’t playing games.

Write to Dan Gallagher at [email protected]

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Appeared in the July 21, 2021, print edition.


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Ackman SPAC Decides Against Buying 10% Stake in Universal Music | Sidnaz Blog


Universal Music’s headquarters in Santa Monica, Calif., earlier this year.


Bing Guan/Bloomberg News

Pershing Square Tontine Holdings Ltd.

PSTH -1.81%

, a blank-check company led by hedge-fund manager

William Ackman,

said it won’t proceed with its proposed acquisition of a 10% stake in Universal Music Group and will assign its share-purchase deal to

Pershing Square Holdings Ltd.


SE—Universal’s majority owner—said it approved Pershing Square Tontine’s request to assign its rights and obligations under a June 20 agreement to investment funds with significant economic interests or management positions held by Mr. Ackman.

The French media company said the equity interest eventually acquired in Universal Music will now be between 5% and 10%. If it falls below 10%, Vivendi said it would still sell the additional interest to other investors before the planned spinoff of Universal Music into an Amsterdam-listed company in September.

On June 20, Pershing Square Tontine agreed to buy 10% of the ordinary shares of Universal Music in a deal valuing the world’s largest music company—home to stars including Taylor Swift, Billie Eilish, Queen and the Beatles—at about $40 billion.

Pershing Square Tontine said its decision to withdraw from the deal was prompted by issues raised by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The company said its board didn’t believe the deal could have been completed given the SEC’s position.

The blank-check company said its board concluded that assigning its Universal Music stock-purchase deal to Pershing Square was in the best interest of shareholders. Pershing Square Tontine said Pershing Square intends to be a long-term Universal Music shareholder.

Pershing Square Tontine said it would seek a new transaction, which will be structured as a conventional special purpose acquisition company merger. The company said it has 18 months remaining to close a deal.

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Blackstone, AIG, NortonLifeLock, Morgan Stanley: What to Watch | Sidnaz Blog


Futures are mixed ahead of jobless figures and a second day of testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman

Jerome Powell

on Capitol Hill. S&P 500 contracts are down slightly. Nasdaq-100 futures are up, suggesting tech stocks will outperform.

Here’s what we’re watching ahead of Thursday’s trading action.

Prague-based Avast primarily makes free and premium security software, offering desktop and mobile-device protection.


david w cerny/Reuters

  • Is the steam coming out of meme stocks?

    AMC Entertainment,

    AMC -15.04%

    one favorite of the Reddit trading crowd, lost 3.7% premarket. If matched once trading begins, the stock would extend a decline of 43% over the past month.


    GME -6.91%



    BB -3.79%

    shares have both dropped by almost a quarter in that time.

  • Netflix

    NFLX 1.34%

    shares rose 2.6%. The streaming company, which reached a licensing deal over animated films with Universal this week, has been on a tear of late, gaining 11% for the month through Wednesday.

  • T. Rowe Price

    TROW -0.85%

    shares are up 2.6%. Analysts at Citigroup, Deutsche Bank and Morgan Stanley have raised their target prices for the stock in recent days. T. Rowe said this week it managed $1.62 trillion in assets at the end of June.

  • Supply-chain technology provider

    E2Open Parent

    ETWO -0.73%

    fell 1% after reporting a fall in profit and revenue in its fiscal first quarter from a year before.

Chart of the Day

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Burberry’s CEO Exit Points to Talent War, Not Takeovers | Sidnaz Blog


Monday brought disappointment for designer label


BURBY -8.29%

and for deal makers in the world of European luxury goods. A top-level poaching incident may strike two of the most commonly cited listed takeover targets off the industry shopping list for a while.

Burberry said Chief Executive

Marco Gobbetti

will leave in December to join Italian shoemaker

Salvatore Ferragamo.

SFER -1.61%

He has been in the job less than five years and is stepping down while the British brand’s turnaround is still only half complete. During Mr. Gobbetti’s tenure, Burberry’s shares have returned 9% annually, lagging bigger brands such as Hermès and Prada.

Burberry’s board, which only heard about Mr. Gobbetti’s plans over the weekend, must now hunt for a new boss as well as reassure investors that lead designer

Riccardo Tisci

won’t follow him out the door. The company’s shares fell 8% in morning trading in London.

Burberry Chief Executive Marco Gobbetti will leave in December to join Italian shoemaker Salvatore Ferragamo.


Dave Benett/Getty Images for Burberry

Both Salvatore Ferragamo and Burberry have long been considered takeover targets, although the former is family-controlled. Some shareholders are betting that the pandemic will compel weaker brands to sell up to one of the large, cash-rich European luxury houses, such as Gucci-owner Kering. The hiring of one of the top CEOs in the business suggests that the Ferragamo family is serious about turning the brand around by themselves. The company’s shares fell 2% despite the positive hire.

The timing is bad for Burberry, which is most famous for its checked trench coats. Several years into a makeover, the brand was beginning to show signs of improvement. Sales fell 10% over the pandemic-struck 12 months through March, but the label has been selling more items at full price—a sign that its image is improving among shoppers. Now, investors must wait for a new boss to be found and see whether he or she changes direction.

The uncertainty will likely weigh on Burberry’s share price, in theory making it a more appealing takeover target. But the stock still trades at 24 times projected earnings and would be a mouthful. Add a 30% takeover premium to the value of its equity and Burberry comes with an £11 billion price tag, or $15.3 billion at current exchange rates—a risky bet considering its still-unsettled outlook. An opportunistic buyer could have picked it up for a lot less last year.

Meanwhile, Salvatore Ferragamo’s move to hire Mr. Gobbetti suggests that the pandemic has caused a rethink among some independent luxury brands. To attract a boss of Mr. Gobbetti’s caliber, the controlling family would have had to give him assurances that they wouldn’t meddle with his strategy. Underperforming names now recognize that they need to change to compete against giants such as

LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton,

the world’s biggest luxury company, whose hand has been strengthened by the crisis.

Investors may still hope that Salvatore Ferragamo will be polished up and sold in a few years’ time at a higher valuation. For now, though, the tougher outlook for smaller luxury brands points to a fight for the best executives rather than major deals.

Write to Carol Ryan at [email protected]

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Netflix Bets on Even Stranger Things | Sidnaz Blog


A scene from the Netflix show ‘Sexy Beasts.’




NFLX 1.04%

and romance have long been a match made in heaven, but now the streaming giant is taking things to another level.

Perhaps emboldened by the success of recent shows like “The Circle” and “Love Is Blind,” Netflix is now doubling down on dystopian reality dating. According to the trailer, released this week, the new concept will feature “real life singles,” sporting “elaborate makeup and prosthetics” and putting blind date chemistry to the test.

After reporting disappointing subscriber numbers for the first quarter, Netflix needs new alluring content. Analysts expect the streaming giant to add about 15 million subscribers in the second half of the year, nearly three times the number it is forecasting for the first half.

As if dating weren’t already hard enough, contestants on “Sexy Beasts” are expected to find love while looking like a panda or a mouse. The trailer features a suave alien in a bowling alley chatting to his date, an apparent cross between a dolphin and a platypus, stating that “personality, for me, is everything.” Others—especially a beaver who candidly describes his favorite physical feature—are at least honest.

If nothing else, viewers will be in it for catfights.

Write to Laura Forman at [email protected]

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Consolidation May Be Coming to a Screen Near You | Sidnaz Blog


Far from killing the movie-exhibition industry, the pandemic may end up helping the big theater chains get even bigger.

Flush with money from sales of its soaring meme stock,


AMC 2.25%

Entertainment has clearly indicated it is shopping around. When the company landed a deal on June 1 to sell about $231 million worth of shares to Mudrick Capital, Chief Executive

Adam Aron

proclaimed that it is time for the largest theater operator in the U.S. to “go on the offense again.” He noted at the time that the company was in discussions with multiple landlords to take over some theaters formerly operated by ArcLight Cinemas and Pacific Theatres.

The AMC Lincoln Square 13 movie theater in New York.


Jeenah Moon/Bloomberg News

That deal may be near done. The Los Angeles Times reported Tuesday that AMC was nearing a deal for “key” Pacific theaters in the area. Two of the theaters were even listed on AMC’s site and ticketing app for part of the day before being taken down, the paper reported. They are unlikely to be the last, considering AMC’s acquisitive history and now bulging coffers. Chief Financial Officer

Sean Goodman

told a Credit Suisse investment conference this week that the company will end June “in the ballpark” of about $1.8 billion in cash, according to the broker’s report of the conference. AMC had about $308 million on its balance sheet at the end of 2020.

The wisdom of AMC pursuing more acquisitions is debatable. The company entered the pandemic with a ratio of net debt to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization of 5.7 times at the end of 2019—twice that of competitor Cinemark, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence. Much of that stemmed from three acquisitions totaling about $3.2 billion in 2016 to 2017. AMC as a result was flirting with bankruptcy before the explosion of interest from retail investors ballooned the stock, which is now up more than 2,700% for the year. Eric Handler of MKM says AMC should use the new bounty to pay down its debt load that now totals about $5.5 billion, adding in a June 8 report that the company’s past deals have “produced subpar returns.” Mr. Aron has said AMC intends to use some of its funds to pay down debt.

Still, the opportunities may be tempting for all the major players. The National Association of Theatre Owners, or NATO, estimates about 125 exhibitors have closed permanently due to the pandemic. Emagine Entertainment, a privately held chain of 208 screens based in Michigan, has picked up four sites from competitors out of bankruptcy, according to Chief Executive Anthony LaVerde, also speaking at the Credit Suisse conference. Cinemark has been conservative with M&A historically, but its CEO,

Mark Zoradi,

told the same conference that the company is “really open” to opportunistic deals in the current environment. He added, though, that “we’re not going to overpay for assets.”

Adding screens could theoretically boost the bargaining power of major theater operators with studios, at a time when shrinking release windows and soaring popularity of streaming services has muddled the long-term outlook for the industry. And the relatively strong performance of the few blockbuster-sized releases that have hit theaters so far this year has been an encouraging sign.

But it may take a lot of deals to have an impact. AMC, Cinemark and Cineworld’s Regal chain already control about 48% of U.S. screens combined, according to Wedbush analyst Alicia Reese. And most of the operators who have closed have fewer than 100 screens, according to NATO spokesman Patrick Corcoran. Ms. Reese says operators with between 50 and 250 screens would be most attractive to companies like AMC, Regal and Cinemark. But even adding 250 screens would boost each chain’s domestic market share by just one percentage point. Paying down debt may be safer, but it makes for a less exciting show.

The coronavirus pandemic shuttered every single AMC theater for months. But the pandemic isn’t the only thing pushing the company onto financially shaky ground. Photo Illustration: Jacob Reynolds/WSJ (Video from 11/30/20)

Corrections & Amplifications
The National Association of Theatre Owners was misspelled as National Association of Theater Owners in an earlier version of this article. Also, the last name of the group’s spokesman, Patrick Corcoran, was misspelled as Cochran. (Corrected on June 18)

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DraftKings Shares Fall After Hindenburg Unveils Short Position | Sidnaz Blog


Shares of

DraftKings Inc.

DKNG -5.71%

slid as much as 12% on Tuesday after short seller Hindenburg Research said that the sports-betting firm’s gambling-technology subsidiary SBTech operates in countries where gambling is banned and said it is positioned for DraftKings shares to fall.

Hindenburg published a report early Tuesday that said DraftKings’ gambling-technology subsidiary SBTech makes about half of its revenue in countries where gambling is banned. According to the report, SBTech created a new entity for what Hindenburg says are its black-market operations ahead of last year’s merger with DraftKings and a blank-check company that took the combination public. DraftKings shares slid in early trading, then recovered. They were recently down about 5%.

“SBTech does not operate in any illegal markets,” a DraftKings spokesman said in a statement. “We conducted a thorough review of their business practices and we were comfortable with the findings.”

New York-based Hindenburg said it based its report on conversations with former employees, regulatory filings and assessments of illegal international gaming websites. It claimed SBTech poses a risk to DraftKings because SBTech accounted for roughly 25% of the firm’s overall sales at the time of the 2020 SPAC merger and brought its technology to the combined company.

The Wall Street Journal hasn’t been able to verify independently the accusations in Hindenburg’s report. DraftKings CEO

Jason Robins

has said publicly that SBTech gives the company a technological advantage and provides better user experiences.

Boston-based DraftKings, which is considered a leader in the sports betting industry, has partnerships with major sports leagues including the NFL, NBA and PGA Tour. As the market expands, operators like DraftKings and FanDuel are in heated competition for customers, spending big on advertising and technology.

Sports betting has boomed since the Supreme Court in 2018 cleared the way for states beyond Nevada to legalize wagers on sporting events. Now, 30 states and the District of Columbia have legalized sports gambling. Boston-based DraftKings had a market value of about $20 billion entering Tuesday’s trading session. It is unprofitable and had sales of about $615 million in 2020.

Tuesday’s share-price drop is the latest triggered by Hindenburg and founder Nathan Anderson. The firm publishes financial research and often bets against shares of companies it deems overvalued. DraftKings shares are down about 30% in the past three months.


Do you think Hindenburg Research is making the right bet on DraftKings? Why or why not? Join the conversation below.

Hindenburg’s Mr. Anderson and a reporter for The Wall Street Journal are among the more than 20 defendants in a lawsuit brought by private-equity firm Catalyst Capital Group and Callidus Capital Corp. alleging a short selling conspiracy related to a 2017 article about Catalyst. A Journal representative has said the news organization is confident in the fairness and accuracy of its reporting. Mr. Anderson has said Hindenburg stands by its research.

DraftKings’ share decline comes a day after electric-truck startup

Lordstown Motors Corp.

said its chief executive and chief financial officer resigned after a board committee found disclosures about preorders for its truck to be inaccurate, partially confirming claims from a March Hindenburg report. Lordstown’s CEO previously declined to comment to The Journal, and efforts to reach the CFO were unsuccessful.

Mr. Robins has said publicly that SBTech gives the company a technological advantage and provides better user experiences.


shannon stapleton/Reuters

Hindenburg has also targeted two other notable companies that have gone public by merging with special-purpose acquisition companies—electric-vehicle firm

Nikola Corp.


Clover Health Investments Corp.

Regulators are investigating both companies as well as Lordstown. Like Lordstown, Nikola also partially confirmed Hindenburg’s allegations after initially saying they were untrue. Clover has called the claims false. Hindenburg didn’t take a short position in Clover.

Also called a blank-check company, a SPAC is a shell company that lists on a stock exchange with the sole intent of merging with a private firm to take it public. The private company then gets the SPAC’s spot in the stock market. SPAC mergers let companies make projections about their business, which wouldn’t be allowed in a traditional initial public offering. They also often offer startups a quicker way to raise large sums from investors who are excited about future technologies.

SPACs have raised more than $105 billion this year, surging past last year’s record north of $80 billion, according to data provider SPAC Research.

Hindenburg’s latest report could also have implications for SPACs, which have become a popular way for startups to raise money and access public markets in the 2020 and 2021 in part due to the lofty valuations of companies like DraftKings. A SPAC backed by former film and media executives

Harry Sloan


Jeff Sagansky

took the company public. The SPAC team declined to comment. The executives have also taken mobile gaming firm

Skillz Inc.


DraftKings and other popular companies linked to SPACs have become trendy with ordinary investors in recent months. Some professionals like Hindenburg, meanwhile, have been betting that shares of many companies that merged with blank-check firms will fall, putting the sector at the center of the recent tension between day traders and pros on Wall Street.

Some analysts say SPACs enrich their creators at the expense of other investors by giving the blank-check executives deeply discounted shares, a point that Hindenburg mentioned in its report.

Write to Amrith Ramkumar at [email protected]

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High-Speed Trader Virtu Fires Back at Critics Amid Meme-Stock | Sidnaz Blog


High-speed trader

Virtu Financial Inc.

VIRT -0.27%

is pushing back against critics in Washington who say the stock market is rigged against small investors.

Virtu’s business of executing individual investors’ orders is facing scrutiny from lawmakers and regulators following the surge in shares of meme stocks like

AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.


GameStop Corp.

Last week, the new chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission,

Gary Gensler,

said he has asked SEC staff to explore changes to the rules governing how investors’ orders are handled. The review will include a practice known as payment for order flow, in which brokerages send many of their customers’ orders to trading firms in exchange for cash payments. Virtu’s stock sold off sharply after Mr. Gensler’s remarks.

Payment for order flow has existed for decades and has come under scrutiny before. But it received fresh attention after the wild volatility in GameStop shares in January. At one congressional hearing in February,

Rep. Sean Casten

(D., Ill.) referred to Robinhood Markets Inc.’s practice of sending orders to high-speed traders as “a conduit to feed fish to sharks.”

Firms such as Robinhood and Virtu say payment for order flow is misunderstood. They say small investors benefit from the practice because it results in better prices than they would get at public exchanges like the New York Stock Exchange and the

Nasdaq Stock Market.

Collectively, that saves investors billions of dollars a year, industry data show.

Payment for order flow has also made it possible for brokerages to provide zero-commission trading. If the practice were banned, it is unclear whether brokerages like Robinhood could still let investors trade stocks and options without charging commissions.

Virtu Chief Executive

Douglas Cifu

has been one of the most vocal defenders of payment for order flow. In March, upset by comments that CNBC “Squawk Box” host

Andrew Ross Sorkin

made about how high-speed traders profited from investors’ orders, Mr. Cifu tweeted his phone number at Mr. Sorkin and said: “Let me know when you want to learn how markets work.” Soon afterward, the CEO went on the show to discuss payment for order flow with Mr. Sorkin.

Following the GameStop trading frenzy, the SEC is expected to take a fresh look at payment for order flow, a decades-old practice that is at the heart of how commission-free trading works. WSJ explains what it is, and why critics say it’s bad for investors. Illustration: Jacob Reynolds/WSJ

In an interview, Mr. Cifu warned that banning the practice and requiring that individual investors’ orders be sent to exchanges would harm small investors. “Retail investors would get a much, much worse experience,” he told The Wall Street Journal.

Firms like Virtu, known in the trading business as wholesalers, make money from investors by filling their orders throughout the day and collecting a small spread between the buying and selling price of each stock. Under SEC rules, they can’t fill the trades at prices worse than the best available price on exchanges—a benchmark known as the national best bid or offer, or NBBO.

Because individuals tend to make small trades, wholesalers can trade against them knowing the individuals aren’t likely to push stock prices up or down, the way that institutional investors can move a stock through heavy buying or selling. That allows wholesalers to make more consistent profits when filling small investors’ orders than when trading on exchanges—a benefit they are willing to pay brokers for, in the form of payment for order flow.

Meanwhile, small investors can benefit from the arrangement by getting prices better than the NBBO, often by just a fraction of a penny a share.

The resulting savings to the investor are known as “price improvement.” In a report released on Thursday, Virtu said standard analyses underestimate the degree to which small investors benefit from having their orders filled by wholesalers.

Using a broader measure of price improvement than the one usually used, Virtu said it saved investors just over $3 billion on their stock trades in 2020. By comparison, data disclosed by wholesalers under SEC reporting rules shows Virtu provided around $950 million worth of price improvement last year.


Is the stock market rigged against small investors? Why or why not? Join the conversation below.

The difference was largely because of how Virtu calculated the savings when an investor does a trade in a larger size than what’s publicly displayed on exchanges. For instance, suppose that 200 shares of

Apple Inc.

are available on exchanges at the national-best-offer price, and an investor buys 500 shares of the stock from Virtu at a slightly lower price.

In that scenario, Virtu’s methodology counts the savings based on how much it would cost to buy all 500 shares using price quotes on exchanges—not just at the national best offer, a price at which only 200 shares are being quoted, but at the higher prices where the remaining 300 shares would be filled.

Critics were unconvinced by Virtu’s analysis, calling it self-serving. Payment for order flow is fundamentally flawed because it poses a conflict of interest for brokers, said

Tyler Gellasch,

executive director of Healthy Markets Association, a trade group for institutional investors.

“There’s a simple question that every investor needs to ask, and that’s whether their broker is trying to get them the best prices or maximize their own profits,” Mr. Gellasch said.

SEC Chairman Gary Gensler recently called for a review of payment for order flow.


The Wall Street Journal

Virtu is the second-largest wholesaler in the U.S. stock market by volume, handling between 25% to 30% of individual investors’ equities order flow, and it paid more than $300 million for order flow last year, according to Bloomberg Intelligence.

Other major wholesalers include Citadel Securities, which has the largest market share, and Susquehanna International Group LLP. Virtu doesn’t break out how much it makes from trading against small investors, but the meme-stock frenzy has helped lift the company’s stock 15% year-to-date.

Mr. Cifu acknowledged that payment for order flow poses a conflict of interest for brokerages, but he said the conflict was already being managed through SEC rules. The regulator requires brokerages to publicly disclose their payment-for-order-flow practices. Brokerages also have a duty to seek best execution for their customers, and some have been fined for failing to fulfill that obligation when routing orders.

The SEC’s review will eventually confirm that the stock market works well for small investors, Mr. Cifu predicted.

“I am so confident in the value that we, Citadel and Susquehanna in partnership with these retail brokers have provided to the ecosystem,” he said, “that any right-minded person looking at this and looking at the data will conclude, ‘Man, this is a great trading system. This is the envy of the world.’”

More on Payment for Order Flow

Recent WSJ articles on the trading practice, selected by the editors

Write to Alexander Osipovich at [email protected]

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AMC Bet by Hedge Fund Unravels Thanks to Meme-Stock Traders | Sidnaz Blog


A multipronged bet on

AMC Entertainment Holdings

AMC 13.03%

boomeranged this month on Mudrick Capital Management LP, the latest hedge fund to fall victim to swarming day traders.

Mudrick’s flagship fund lost 10% in just a few days as a jump in AMC’s stock price unexpectedly triggered changes in the value of derivatives the fund held as part of a complex trading strategy, people familiar with the matter said.

The setback comes months after a group of traders organizing on social media helped send the price of

GameStop Corp.

GME 2.05%

and other stocks soaring in January, well beyond many investors’ views of underlying fundamentals.

The development prompted many hedge funds to slash their exposure to meme stocks. Mudrick Capital’s losses highlight how risky retaining significant exposure to such companies can be—even backfiring on a hedge-fund manager who was mostly in sync with the bullishness of individual investors.

Jason Mudrick,

the firm’s founder, had been trading AMC stock, options and bonds for months, surfing a surge of enthusiasm for the theater chain among individual investors. But he also sold call options, derivative contracts meant to hedge the fund’s exposure to AMC should the stock price founder. Those derivative contracts, which gave its buyers the right to buy AMC stock from Mudrick at roughly $40 in the future, ballooned into liabilities when a resurgence of Reddit-fueled buying recently pushed AMC’s stock to new records, the people said.

Day traders took their first run at AMC shares in late January.


Bing Guan/Bloomberg News

As part of the broader AMC strategy, executives at Mudrick Capital were in talks with AMC to buy additional shares from the company in late May. On June 1, AMC disclosed that Mudrick Capital had agreed to buy $230 million of new stock directly from the company at $27.12 apiece, a premium over where it was then trading.

Mudrick immediately sold the stock at a profit, a quick flip that was reported by Bloomberg News and that sparked backlash on social media.

“Mudrick didn’t stab AMC in the back…They shot themselves in the foot,” read one post on Reddit’s Wall Street Bets forum on June 1. Other posts around that time referenced Mudrick as “losers,” “scum bags” and “a large waving pile of s—t with no future.” Members of the forum urged each other to buy and hold.

Inside Mudrick, executives were growing apprehensive as the AMC rally gained steam. The firm’s risk committee met on the evening of June 1 after the stock closed at $32 and decided to exit all debt and derivative positions the following day.

It was a day too late.

AMC’s stock price blew past $40 in a matter of hours June 2, hitting an intraday high of $72.62. Call option prices soared amid a frenzy of trading that Mudrick Capital contributed to and by the end of the week, the winning trade had turned into a bust. Mudrick Capital made a 5% return on the debt it sold but after accounting for its options trade, the fund took a net loss of about 5.4% on AMC.

Mr. Mudrick’s fund is still up about 12% for the year, one of the people said. Meanwhile, investors who bought AMC stock at the start of the year and held on have gained about 2000%.

The impact of social media-fueled day traders has become a defining market development this year, costing top hedge funds billions of dollars in losses, sparking a congressional hearing and drawing scrutiny from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. More hedge funds now track individual investors’ sentiment on social media and pay greater attention to companies with smaller market values whose stock price may be more susceptible to the enthusiasms of individual investors.

Mr. Mudrick specializes in distressed debt investing, often lending to troubled companies at high interest rates or swapping their existing debt for equity in bankruptcy court. Mudrick manages about $3.5 billion in investments firmwide and holds large, illiquid stakes in E-cigarette maker NJOY Holdings Inc. and satellite communications company

Globalstar Inc.

from such exchanges. The flagship fund reported returns of about 17% annually from 2018 to 2020, according to data from HSBC Alternative Investment Group.

But distressed investing opportunities have grown harder to find as easy money from the Federal Reserve has given even struggling companies open access to debt markets. Mr. Mudrick has explored other strategies, launching several SPACS and, in the case of AMC, ultimately buying stock in block trades.

Mr. Mudrick initially applied his typical playbook to AMC, buying bonds for as little as 20 cents on the dollar, lending the company $100 million in December and swapping some bonds into new shares. Theater attendance, already under pressure, had disappeared almost entirely amid Covid-19 pandemic lockdowns, and AMC stock traded as low as $2. He reasoned that consumers would regain their appetite for big-screen entertainment this year as more Americans got vaccinated.

Day traders took their first run at AMC in late January, urging each other on with the social-media rallying cry of #SaveAMC and briefly lifting the stock to around $20. AMC’s rising equity value boosted debt prices—one bond Mudrick Capital owned doubled within a week—quickly rewarding Mr. Mudrick’s bullishness. AMC capitalized on its surging stock price to raise nearly $1 billion in new financing in late January, enabling it to ward off a previously expected bankruptcy filing.

Around that time, Mr. Mudrick sold call options on AMC stock, producing immediate income to offset potential losses if the theater chain did face problems. The derivatives gave buyers the option to buy AMC shares from Mudrick Capital for about $40—viewed as a seeming improbability when the stock was trading below $10.

Mr. Mudrick remained in contact with AMC Chief Executive

Adam Aron

about providing additional funding, leading to his recent share purchase. But he kept the derivative contracts outstanding as an insurance policy, one of the people familiar with the matter said.

Write to Matt Wirz at [email protected] and Juliet Chung at [email protected]

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